Investigating the Impact of Structural Failure on the Value Relevance of Accounting Information

Document Type : Research Paper

Authors

1 Ph.D. Candidate, Department of Accounting, Faculty of Management and Accounting, Tabriz Branch, Islamic Azad University, Tabriz, Iran.

2 Associate Prof., Department of Accounting, Faculty of Management and Accounting, Tabriz Branch, Islamic Azad University, Tabriz, Iran.

3 Prof., Department of Accounting, Faculty of Management and Accounting, Khatam University, Tehran, Iran.

4 Associate Prof., Department of Economics, Tabriz Branch, Islamic Azad University, Tabriz, Iran.

5 Assistant Prof., Department of Accounting, Faculty of Management and Accounting, Tabriz Branch, Islamic Azad University, Tabriz, Iran.

10.22059/acctgrev.2023.346709.1008710

Abstract

Objective: The purpose of the present research was to investigate the effect of structural failure on the value relevance of accounting information.
Methods: This is a quasi-experimental, post-event, and interdisciplinary study. Various econometric methods including multiple regression analysis with panel data econometric method, endogenous calculation of structural failures, and Wong's test-z were applied to determine the difference between the coefficients of the models. To measure and calculate the structural failure, the endogenous structural failure model proposed by Bay and Peron was used and to measure the value relevance of accounting information, the two variables of profit and book value in both price and return models were used.
Results: The research findings indicated the existence of three valid structural failures during the research period.  Iran's capital market was suffering a structural failure during the time span of 2011, 2012, and 2017. It was also found that when a structural failure occurs, the value relevance of accounting information decreases. The value relevance of accounting information while ignoring structural failure is 16%. This figure reaches 37% if structural failure is taken into consideration. In addition, the findings of the research showed that due to the difference in the coefficients of determining the fitting patterns, the price pattern is more explanatory than the yield pattern in case of structural failure.
Conclusion: According to the achieved results, a structural failure has occurred in the capital market. When structural failure occurs, the value relevance of accounting information decreases. Having considered the structural failures, fitting models show different performances. By applying structural failure, the explanatory power of fitting models increased to more than twice its initial value. Therefore, it can be accepted that the value relevance of accounting information is influenced by structural failure. For this reason, paying attention to the phenomenon of structural failure makes the obtained results to be real and reliable.  It also makes it different from the case where structural failure is not taken into account. The models show different performances while considering the phenomenon of structural failures; hence, just considering accounting variables without structural failure events seems to be the simplification of the problem. This issue leads to an unfavorable effect on the interpretation of accounting information users to predict the results of the future economic activities of companies. Therefore, by ignoring the phenomenon of structural failure, linear models with constant parameters cannot explain the behavior of accounting variables efficiently. In other words, ignoring structural failures is in fact using an incorrect model. According to the results of the research, the price model shows a better explanatory power in studies compared to the yield model in case of structural failure. The research results suggest that increasing the reliability of the results in accounting research requires the implementation of regression and econometric models. The concepts and assumptions of economics and the fitting model based on structural failure should be used similar to the present study.

Keywords


 
Aflatoni, A. )2016). The Impact of Company Growth on the Relationship between Market Value and Book Value and Profit, Journal of Financial Accounting and Auditing Research, 8(31), 1- 21. (in Persian)
Ahmadian, V., Etemadi, H., Aghaei, M.A. & Mehregan, N. (2020).  Investigating the effect of noise on reducing the reaction rate to accounting profit, Journal of Financial Accounting and Auditing Research, 12(48), 1- 22. (in Persian)
Aizenman, J. Lee, M. & D. Park. (2012). The Relationship between Structural Change and Inequality: A Conceptual Overview With Special Reference to Developing Asia, ADB Institute.
Altinay, G. & Karagol, E. (2004). Structural break, unit root, and the causality between energy consumption and GDP in Turkey, Energy Economics, (26), 985-994.
Amini, R. & Izadinia, N. (2013). Investigating the value relationship of accounting information in companies listed on the stock exchange, Journal of Experimental Accounting Research 2(8).98- 133. (in Persian)
Andreou, E. & Ghysels, E. (2002). Detecting multiple breaks in financial market volatility dynamics. Journal of Applied Econometrics, 17, 579-600.
Asgharpour, H. & Qazvinian, M. H. (2010). Investigating the Structural Failure of Natural Gas Consumption and Economic Growth in Iran, Quarterly Journal of Energy Economics Studies, 5(19). 105- 122. (in Persian)
Bai, J., Lumsdaine, R. L. & Stock, G. H. (1998). Testing for unit root and dating common breaks in multivariate time series, Review of Economic Studies, (65), 395-432.
Balachandran, S. & Mohanram, P. (2011). Is the decline in the value relevance of accounting driven by increased conservatism. Review of Accounting Studies, 16: 272-301
Banerjiee, A., Lumsdaine, R.L. & Stock, J. H. (1992). Recursive and sequential tests of unit root and trend break hypothesis, Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, (10), 271-287.
Barkish, A.G. (2014). A Study of the Characteristics of Long-Term Memory and Structural Failure in Price Index Yields, Iranian Economic Research Quarterly, 20(63), 145-185.
(in Persian)
Bartram, S.M. & Wang, Y. -H. (2005). Another look at the relationship between cross-market correlation and volatility. Finance Research Letters, 2, 75-88.
Bayat, M., Zolghi, H., Mirhosseini, I. (2015). Investigation of earnings persistence on value relevance of accounting information. Accounting and Auditing Reviewe, 79, 41-58.
 (in Persian)
Bolo, G., Marfou, M., Saei M. (2020). Changes in the value relationship of accounting information over time in the stock market, Master Thesis, Allameh Tabatabai University. (in Persian)
Chan, K., Chen, H.K., Hong, L.H. & Wang, Y. (2015). Stock Market Valuation of R&D Expenditures-The role of Corporate Governance, Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, 31, 78-93.
Chaouachi, S., Ftiti, Z. & Teulon, F. (2014). Explaining the Tunisian Real Exchange: Long Memory Versus Structural Breaks, Working Papers 2014-147, Department of esearch, Ipag Business School.
Chen, P. & Zhang, G. (2007). How Do Accounting Variables Explain Stock Price Movements? Theory and Evidence. Journal of Accounting and Economics, 43(2-3). 219-244.
Clouta, V., Willett, R. (2016). Earnings in Firm Valuation and their Value Relevance, 12(3), 223-240.
Elmi, Z., Abuzari, I., Rasekhi, S. & Shirazi, M. S. (2014). The effect of structural failures on fluctuations, PhD thesis in Economics, University of Mazandaran. (in Persian)
Ewing, B.T. & Malik, F. (2013). Volatility Transmission between Gold and Oil Futures under Structural Breaks, International Review of Economics and Finance, 25, 113–121.
Farhadi, Z. & Soleimani Amiri, G. (2017). Investigating the content of information, accounting information during the major fluctuations of the Tehran Stock Exchange. Journal of Experimental Accounting Research, 7(27). 173- 197. (in Persian)
Feyzollahi, S. & Lashkarizadeh, M. (2021). The effect of the quality of accruals on stock return fluctuations, Journal of Financial Accounting and Auditing Research, 13(49), 31-51.
(in Persian)
Francis, B., Hasan, I., Siraj, I. & Wu, Q. (2020). Managerial Ability and Value Relevance of Earnings, www.ssrn.com
Gujarati, D.N. (2004). Basic Econometrics, fourth Edition, McGraw-Hill Companies.
Haghighat, H. & Motamed, M. (2012). Investigation relationship between volatility and predictability of earnings. Advances in Accounting, 3, 65-87. (in Persian)
Hao, S. Jin, Q. & Zhang G. (2011). Investment Growth and the Relation between Equity Value, Earnings, and Equity Book Value. Accounting Review, 86(2), 605-635.
Hejazi, R., Mojtahedzadeh, V., Saghafi, A., Rahmani, A. & Valizadeh Larijani, A. (2014). Explaining a model for predicting stock returns, PhD thesis, Al-Zahra University of Tehran. (in Persian)
Hejrani, M. & Shaykhs, Sh. (2011). The relationship between conservatism and the content of accounting information, Master Thesis, Al-Zahra University, Tehran. (in Persian)
Hosseini, S.R., Hajian Nejad, A. & Ganji, H.R. (2022). Analysis of profit management and its sustainability in leveraged and non-leveraged companies using Markov chains, Accounting and Auditing Studies, (1) 29, 59-95. (in Persian)
Jafarzadehpour, F., Nazemi, A. & Asadi, A. (2017). Methods for Predicting Financial Markets in Structural Breakdown. Management Futures Research Quarterly, 28(109).
(in Persian)
Jong, H. Ch., Jeong, B. K. & J. J. Lee.(2011). Value Relevance of Discretionary Accruals in the Asian Financial Crisis of 1997-1998. Journal of Accounting and Public Policy, 30(2),  166-187.
Karimi, M. & Setayesh, M. H. (2016). A Study of the Sustainability of Accounting theory on profit momentum, PhD Thesis, Shiraz University. (in Persian)
Karoglou, M. (2010). Breaking down the non-normality of stock returns. The European Journal of Finance, 16, 79-95.
Kashi, M., Fallah Shams, M., Denyani, M. (2013).Application of Long-Term Memory and Structural Failure Models Using Quantitative Approach, Journal of Financial Engineering and Securities Management, 4(16), 23-50. (in Persian)
Kevin, C. K. L. Heibatollah, S. & Haiyan, Zh. (2016). Change in the value relevance of accounting information over time. Journal of Contemporary Accounting & Economic, 15 (2): 248–396.
Khajovi, Sh. & Faal Qayyomi, A. (2015). Investigating the relationship between accounting ratios and return skewness in order to explain the anomaly of growth and value stocks. Accounting and auditing reviews, 23(4), 461-482. (in Persian)
Khodaparast, A., Rezaei, F., Khordyar, S.W. & Mohammad, R. (2020). Experimental test comparing the efficiency of ordinary stock cost models under information ambiguity and Profit value relationship, Journal of Accounting and Auditing Studies, School of Management, Tehran University, 4(26), 499-516. (in Persian)
Kim, J. W., Seo, B. & Leatham, D. J. (2010). Structural Change in Stock Price Volatility of Asian Financial Markets, Journal of Economic Research, 15, 1-27.
 Korkmaz, T., Çevik, E.I. & Atukeren, E. (2012). Return and Volatility Spillovers among CIVETS Stock Markets, Emerging Markets Review, 13, 230–252.
Madala, J.S.M. (2010). Unified, Collective Roots and Structural Change, (Ghorbani, Hayat Gheibi Beldaji & Dastjerdi, Trans.). Mashhad, Ferdowsi University of Mashhad.
(in Persian)
Mashayekh, Sh. & Nasiri, S. (2016). The impact of transparency of financial reporting on the Value Relevance of profit. Accounting empirical researches,19, 127-154 (in Persian).
Mashayekhi, B. & Menati, V. (2014). Investigation of effective factors on earnings volatility. Journal of Financial Accounting, 5(20), 66-89. (in Persian)
Morales-Zumaquero, A. & Sosvilla-Rivero, S. (2010). Structural Breaks in Volatility: Evidence for the OECD and non-OECD Real Exchange Rates.Journal of International Money and Finance, 29(1), 139-168.
Morshedzadeh, M., Ghorbani, M. & Shabani, K. (2014). Earnings sustainability, economic conditions and the value relevance of accounting information: The case of Tehran security exchange, Management Accounting Quarterly, 7(23), 85-103. (in Persian)
Mousavi, A., Bahar Moghaddam, M. (2014). Investigating the effect of profit stability and economic conditions on the value relationship of accounting information Master's thesis, Bahonar University of Kerman. (in Persian)
Naderi, S., Haidarpour, F. & Yaghoubnejad, A. (2015). The Relationship between Quality of Accounting Information and Growth Rate Correlation. Journal of Financial Accounting and Auditing Research, 10(39), 218-191. (in Persian)
Naseri, Y., Saeedi, N. & Ghasemi, J. (2015). Investigating structural failure and the effect of months of the year on price fluctuations, Master Thesis, Khorramshahr University of Marine Sciences and Technology. (in Persian)

Nejad Kiani, A., Del Zandeh, A. & Asadi, A. (2013). The Effect of Information Content of Economic Value-Added and Traditional Criteria on Firms’ Markets Value Added, Journal of Accounting and Auditing Studies, School of Management, Tehran University. 2(20), 1- 18. (in Persian)

Noravesh, I., Abdullahzadeh, S. & Maliki, M. (2020). Changes in the Value Relevance of Accounting Information Overtime among Listed Companies in Tehran Stock Exchange, Journal of Accounting and Auditing Research, 9(2), 57-80. (in Persian)

Nyathi, K.A., Nyoni, T., Nyoni, Garikai, B.W. (2018). The Role of Accounting Information in the Success of Small & Medium Enterprises (SMEs) in Zimbabwe: A Case of Harare, Journal of Business and Management (DRJ-JBM), 1(1), 1-15.
Pakdel, A. & Atashi, H. (2015). Experimental study of the information value of accounting data in companies listed on the Tehran Stock Exchange, Master Thesis, Islamic Azad University, Germi Branch. (in Persian)
Rahnemaeirood Poshti, F., Nikomram, H., Layalestani, M.Sh. & Dadmehr, M. (2021). Dynamic correlation test of breaking across Iranian markets by multivariate FIAPARCH when the political shock occurs, PhD Thesis, Islamic Azad University,Tehran Research Sciences Branch. (in Persian)
Samaneh, A .(2017). Structural Failure, Encyclopaedia Research Institute, Allameh Tabatabaei University, Tehran. (in Persian)
Suri, A. (2013). Economics Volumes I and II, Tehran, Farhangasi Publishing. (in Persian)
Tahata, Y. & Alhadab, M. (2017). Have Accounting Numbers Lost their Value Relevance during the Recent. Financial Credit Crisis, 66, 182-191.
Yusof, F., Kane, I. L. & Yusop, Z. (2013). Structural break or long memory: an empirical survey on daily rainfall data sets across Malaysia, Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 17: 1311–1318.
Zhang, X. (2006). Information Uncertainty and Stock Returns, Journal of Finance, 61 (1), 105-1360.